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This metals supercycle is getting harder to pin down. If it’s defined by surging prices, surging demand and surging supply, none are happening. And many analysts contend all three should be happening together. What’s more, since Ukraine, the world seems to have doubled down on fossil fuels, and the price of metals for the green transition have slumped. Copper, for instance, is down 11% on the year, lithium 51% and cobalt 53%.
Supercycle-enthusiasts will counter the above by taking a five-year view. By that yardstick, copper is up 21%, nickel 40% and lithium by 80%. So much for prices, but what about production?
US and Saudi step in where China is falling short
The supercycle has been postponed
Supercycle or top of the cycle?
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