BASE METALS

Copper, nickel smelting subdued in August

Global copper smelting activity remained subdued in August due to extended downtime and disruptions including flooding, according to Marex and Earth-i’s SAVANT.

Staff reporter
Copper, nickel smelting subdued in August

The platform, which monitors about 90% of global copper and nickel smelting activity, said along with seasonal maintenance, there had been extended downtime as copper smelters waited for expected higher treatment and refining charges later this year.

It said there had been a significant reduction in activity in south central China, which was put down to recent flooding and power restriction directives.

The global dispersion index for copper smelting averaged 45.9, down from July's 48.2, with readings below 50 indicating less activity levels than average.

China averaged 44.6 in August, a little below July's 46.4.

However South America rose from 52.3 to 62 in August "as integrated operations look to take advantage of elevated copper prices".

The new global inactive capacity index for copper rose to 19.2, where a reading of zero would indicate 100% smelting capacity.

In nickel, SAVANT's global inactive capacity index rose to year-to-date high of 23.9 on August 31.

It said the index had been rising since late May, due to disruptions including flooding, strikes and civil unrest, and the strong stainless-steel demand had led to a drawdown of inventories on the Shanghai Exchange to record lows.

China and Indonesia's nickel pig iron activity decreased over August.

Marex global head of analytics Dr Guy Wolf said the more detailed analysis of the SAVANT data was starting to bear fruit.

"For example, our observation that the China Inactivity Index for copper is potentially a leading indicator of the arbitrage between domestic and international pricing is exciting, as this presents an opportunity for our users to monetise the information," he said.

"Similarly in North America, a user of the SAVANT platform would have been able to see that regional smelter activity has been well below average for much of the last 18 months, which together with snarled logistics networks, saw COMEX prices establish a record premium to those on the LME in late July."

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the farming sector, brought to you by the Kondinin team.

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the farming sector, brought to you by the Kondinin team.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Investor Sentiment Report 2024

Survey revealing the plans, priorities, and preferences of 120+ mining investors and their expectations for the sector in 2024.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Mining Equities Report 2023

Access an exclusive, inside look on the quarterly mining IPOs and secondary raisings data and mining equities performance tables with an annual Stock Exchange Comparisons supplement.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence World Risk Report 2023 (feat. MineHutte ratings)

A detailed analysis of mining investment risks across 121 jurisdictions globally, built on 11 ‘hard risk’ metrics and an industrywide survey.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Global Leadership Report 2023: Social licence

Gain insights into social licence trends and best practices from interviews with 20+ top mining company executives and an industrywide survey.