EXPLORATION & DEVELOPMENT

Mine project staging to manage uncertainty

If nothing else, 2018 was a stark reminder of the volatility inherent in commodity prices. The green shoots of recovery early in that year weakened, calling into question the robustness of stronger prices and a turn in the cycle. Mining companies contemplating new capital projects rightly view commodity prices as beyond their control, yet price is also frequently the most powerful driver of project returns.

Helen Quirke, Pierre-Yves Galopin and Warrick Lanagan*
Mine project staging to manage uncertainty

Owners, along with financial analysts, respond to price volatility by building more sophisticated price forecasting models, detailed forward supply and demand curves and game-theory scenarios of competitor...

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